Every quarter we score G7-plus countries — plus East Asian leading-indicator cases — on eight structural pillars and three cross-cutting dimensions. The Lifetime Cohort Wealth Ratio is the centrepiece. Free, no registration, calibrated against falsifiable predictions we publish in advance.
Across most developed economies, the cohort born in 1985 has accumulated meaningfully less real net wealth at age 35 than the cohort born in 1955 had at the same age. The gap ranges from roughly 15% in Germany to over 50% in Japan.
Read the methodology and bias audit before drawing conclusions from the headline. The directional claim — younger cohorts hold less wealth at the same age — is robust to every audit we can run. The magnitude of the gap is uncertain in either direction and the methodology page documents which direction each known bias pushes.
The Future Confidence dimension tracks an expanding catalogue of cultural vocabulary — hygge, tang ping, sōshoku-danshi, sampo, soft life, niksen, kotoilu, kalsarikännit and others — that legitimates reduced engagement with the work-strive-accumulate sequence. These terms are not synonyms: each carries its own cultural meaning, severity, and history. What's analytically interesting is that the catalogue itself is expanding, on a schedule that lines up with measurable structural pressure on the cohorts using it. Read the dedicated page: A growing vocabulary for reduced engagement.
Most country analysis is either deferential (IMF, OECD), short-term and narrative-led (bank macro research), or ideologically pre-positioned (think tanks). Aavistus Country Posture sits parallel: primary-source-grounded, calibrated, ideologically cross-cutting, leading-indicator-aware. Every brief logs falsifiable predictions; every prediction is audited at 12 and 24 months on the public Track Record page.
Phase 2 (months 2-8) adds Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Sweden, Netherlands plus Japan, Korea, Taiwan as leading-indicator benchmark cases. Phase 2 also delivers the comparative dashboard, the Narrative-Gap quarterly publication, and the first calibration retrospective.