Track record — returning soon.

The track-record ledger is between publishing cycles. The framework's calibration discipline — every forward claim gets a falsification criterion and a fixed horizon, and verdicts land here when the window closes — stays exactly the same. The page will repopulate when the next cycle of public claims accrues.

In the meantime, the methodology page documents how predictions get computed and what disconfirms each load-bearing thesis. That's the calibration layer the track record exposes; you can read it before any claims accrue.

No active forward claims at the moment. Earlier claims were cycle-specific and have been retired. The next cycle will publish under proper briefing pages with traceable source provenance.