The show does not get to be vague. When an episode makes a call, the call is written down here — the claim itself, the date it has to resolve by, and the observation that settles it. The clock is short, usually under two weeks, because a forecast that never comes due is not a forecast.
When the date arrives the call is marked hit, miss or void, and it stays on this page either way. Misses are not quietly removed; that is the whole point of keeping the ledger in public.
This is a calibration record — it measures whether the reads are any good, and nothing else. It is not a track record of investment performance, and nothing on this page is investment advice.
Ledger updated 2026-09-21 10:11 UTC
The Council of the European Union renews its individual Russia sanctions this week before the current list expires.
Nothing has settled in the last 30 days.
Nothing has settled yet, so there is no rate to report. The first numbers appear here when the first call resolves.